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UK economy shrank by 0.1% in October, official figures show | Money News

The Owner Press by The Owner Press
December 12, 2025
in Newswire
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The UK financial system contracted by 0.1% in October, in line with official figures.

The shock fall in gross home product (GDP) – a measure of financial output – comes after a similar unexpected 0.1% drop in September and 0% development in August.

Economists polled by the Reuters information company had predicted that October GDP would develop by 0.1%.

The figures, from the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics (ONS), characterize extra unhealthy information for the chancellor over the state of the UK economy.

Commentators had warned that shopper spending was prone to be restrained within the run-up to November’s budget, amid issues in regards to the influence of Rachel Reeves’s potential measures on households and companies.

UK GDP has additionally been hit laborious by disruption to automobile manufacturing attributable to a cyber assault on Jaguar Land Rover.

The ONS mentioned that in October, the UK’s companies sector fell by 0.3%, whereas development was down 0.6%. Nevertheless, manufacturing grew by 1.1%.

It discovered that GDP on a rolling three-month foundation, to October, additionally fell by 0.1%.

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The ONS’s director of financial statistics, Liz McKeown, mentioned: “Inside manufacturing, there was continued weak spot in automobile manufacturing, with the business solely making a slight restoration in October from the substantial fall in output seen within the earlier month.

“Total companies confirmed no development within the newest three months, persevering with the latest development of slowing on this sector. There have been falls in wholesale and scientific analysis, offset by development in rental and leasing and retail.”

Rate of interest minimize ‘nailed on’

Commentators additionally blamed speculation around the budget for dampening demand.

Scott Gardner, from banking big JP Morgan, mentioned: “Regardless of expectations of a return to development in October, UK GDP contracted firstly of autumn because the financial system battles a interval of inconsistent productiveness.

“Hypothesis about potential finances bulletins had a numbing impact on shoppers and companies within the lead as much as the chancellor’s speech on the finish of November.”

Suren Thiru, from the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales, mentioned the info elevated the chance of the Financial institution of England chopping interest rates subsequent week.

He mentioned: “With these downbeat figures prone to additional gas fears amongst rate-setters over the well being of the UK financial system, a December coverage loosening seems to be nailed on, notably given the possible deflationary influence of the finances.”

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