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Middle East crisis live: oil prices fall back sharply as Trump claims Iran war will be over ‘very soon’ | US-Israel war on Iran

The Owner Press by The Owner Press
March 10, 2026
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Oil costs fall sharply after Trump claims warfare can be over ‘very quickly’

Callum Jones

Callum Jones

Oil costs have tumbled again from the four-year highs they hit on Monday after Donald Trump steered the US-Israel war on Iran may finish “very quickly”.

It has been a rare 24 hours in world markets.

This time yesterday, Brent crude, the worldwide benchmark, surged beyond $100 per barrel for the primary time since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 – triggering stark sell-offs throughout main Asian and European inventory indices. Wall Road additionally began the day below stress in New York.

Then Trump, who pays shut consideration to market actions, began speaking. The warfare on Iran as “very complete, pretty much”, the US president claimed in an interview with CBS Information.

Brent crude, which climbed as excessive as $119.50 per barrel on Monday, fell again sharply to settle at $98.96. On Wall Road, the S&P 500 clawed out of the crimson to complete the day larger.

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Up to date at 19.34 EDT

Key occasions

Trump suggests college strike carried out by Iran or ‘any person else’

Lauren Gambino

Lauren Gambino

Donald Trump has been requested whether or not the US would settle for duty for a strike that hit an Iranian elementary college, killing scores of individuals, a lot of them kids, after video proof showed a US Tomahawk struck the naval base subsequent to it.

In response, the president steered, with out proof, that the bombing had been carried out by Iran or “any person else”.

“It’s one thing that I used to be informed is below investigation, however Tomahawks are utilized by others,” Trump mentioned. “As you realize, quite a few different nations have Tomahawks. They purchase them from us.”

A video launched by the Iranian information company Mehr and geolocated to the location by the investigative collective Bellingcat, mixed with other evidence from the site, point out that the elementary college in Minab was hit throughout a set of strikes by the US, because it focused an adjoining Islamic Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) naval compound.

Footage released by Iran foreign press office shows destruction inside girls' school
Footage launched by Iran overseas press workplace reveals destruction inside women’ college

Munitions specialists have told the Guardian that the missile proven within the video is clearly a Tomahawk, which is barely utilized by the US within the present battle.

Pressed by a reporter on why he had steered Iran was accountable – a declare nobody else in his administration had made – Trump replied: “As a result of I simply don’t know sufficient about it.”

The strike demolished roughly half the college, killing dozens of seven- to 12-year-old women as they attended morning lessons.

Trump on Monday mentioned he was “keen to reside” with “no matter” the investigation concludes.

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Up to date at 22.04 EDT

Donald Trump has steered the US could carry oil sanctions in opposition to “some nations” to ease costs because the financial toll of the US-Israeli warfare on Iran deepens.

The US treasury has already issued a 30-day waiver permitting India to buy Russian oil from tankers stranded at sea, Lauren Gambino reports.

The US president additionally mentioned on Monday that the battle might be over “very quickly” whereas threatening much more aggressive motion if Tehran moved to chop off world vitality provides, as mentioned earlier.

Trump mentioned the US wouldn’t let Iran “maintain the world hostage” over oil, telling reporters:

double citation markWe’ll hit them so onerous that it’ll not be doable for them, or anyone else serving to them, to ever get better that part of the world in the event that they do something.

Throughout appearances in Florida, Trump additionally mentioned the US had taken a “little tour” to the Center East “to eliminate some evil” however steered the warfare – now in its second week – was forward of schedule and close to completion.

There’s extra within the full report right here:

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Up to date at 22.04 EDT

Egypt raised costs on a variety of gasoline merchandise on Tuesday, the petroleum ministry has been reported as saying.

It cited “distinctive situations in world vitality markets” linked to developments within the Center East.

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Iran threatens to dam regional oil exports

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards has mentioned Tehran won’t permit “one litre of oil” to be exported from the area if US-Israeli assaults proceed.

Donald Trump then threatened to hit the Islamic republic far tougher if it stopped the move of oil within the very important strait of Hormuz.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) mentioned in a press release carried by state media that it could “decide the tip of the warfare”, in feedback after the US president earlier mentioned the battle would finish “quickly”.

The Guards’ assertion was quoted as saying:

double citation markThe equations and future standing of the area at the moment are within the arms of our armed forces; American forces won’t finish the warfare.

In an obvious response to the assertion, Trump has posted on his Truth Social platform:

double citation markIf Iran does something that stops the move of Oil inside the Strait of Hormuz, they are going to be hit by america of America TWENTY TIMES HARDER than they’ve been hit up to now. Moreover, we are going to take out simply destroyable targets that can make it just about inconceivable for Iran to ever be constructed again, as a Nation, once more — Demise, Hearth, and Fury will reign upon them — However I hope, and pray, that it doesn’t occur!

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Up to date at 21.29 EDT

Israel says it hit Iranian launcher after missile barrage

Israel struck an Iranian missile launcher shortly after a barrage fired from the Islamic republic triggered air raid warnings in a number of Israeli areas, Israel mentioned on Tuesday.

Late on Monday the Israeli army mentioned it recognized a spherical of Iranian missile hearth and was working “to intercept the risk”.

The Iranian launches sparked air raid warnings in a number of components of Israel, forcing folks to go for shelter.

However the Magen David Adom emergency companies mentioned it obtained no stories of casualties after the newest spherical of Iranian hearth.

Agence France-Presse additionally stories the Israeli army then mentioned it “had struck the missile launcher that launched missiles towards the state of Israel a short time in the past”.

Earlier than the newest Iranian assault, Israel had introduced what it known as a “broad wave” of strikes on Tehran, the second such assault launched on Monday.

Israeli air defences intercept a projectile over northern Israel, as seen from Majdal Shams within the Israeli-annexed Golan Heights, on Tuesday. {Photograph}: Atef Safadi/EPA
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Up to date at 20.35 EDT

The Iranian Revolutionary Guard is saying safety within the area can be for everybody or for nobody, state media is reportedly quoting a spokesperson for the elite pressure as saying.

We’ll have extra on this quickly.

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Iranian politicians and establishments have issued pledges of loyalty to new supreme chief Mojtaba Khamenei, whose father, spouse, son and mom died in the beginning of the US-Israeli air onslaught, in response to Iranian state media.

“We’ll obey the commander-in-chief till the final drop of our blood,” a defence council assertion mentioned.

However Reuters is reporting that Iranians reached by telephone had been divided over his appointment, with supporters of the authorities hailing the selection as a declaration of defiance and opponents fearful it could sprint their hopes for change.

Many Iranians had initially celebrated the loss of life of Khamenei’s father and supreme chief Ali Khamenei, weeks after his safety forces killed 1000’s of anti-government protesters. However there has since been little signal of anti-government exercise, with activists petrified of taking to the streets whereas Iran is below assault.

“The [Revolutionary] Guards and the system are nonetheless highly effective,” mentioned Babak, 34, a businessperson within the central metropolis of Arak who requested to maintain his household identify confidential.

double citation markThey’ve tens of 1000’s of forces able to battle to maintain this regime in place. We, the folks, don’t have anything.

Folks collect in a rally in Tehran on Monday in assist of latest Iranian supreme chief Mojtaba Khamenei. {Photograph}: Vahid Salemi/AP
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Up to date at 20.25 EDT

Deepa Parent

Deepa Father or mother

Because the Israeli army introduced it had launched a broad wave of assaults in Tehran, two residents informed the Guardian that that they had been below heavy bombardment and heard back-to-back explosions prior to now half hour.

One Tehran resident within the east of the capital mentioned that they had misplaced electrical energy and there was a loud sound adopted by “a number of explosions, one after one other”.

“The place they hit has caught hearth,” she mentioned, including that there have been a number of jets within the air.

double citation markThey’re destroying Iran.

A bike passes by hearth burning alongside Tehran’s Koohsar Boulevard, in a picture from video on social media launched on Sunday. {Photograph}: Reuters
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Up to date at 19.52 EDT

Australia to deploy plane and missiles to Gulf

Krishani Dhanji

Krishani Dhanji

The Australian authorities has mentioned it can deploy a army surveillance airplane to the Gulf as 12 nations within the area face assaults from Iran.

The federal government confirmed the deployment of the E-7A Wedgetail was on the request of the United Arab Emirates and mentioned it could additionally present superior medium vary air-to-air missiles to the UAE.

The Australian prime minister Anthony Albanese, mentioned the deployment could be in a defensive, not an offensive, capability.

double citation markWe’re taking defensive motion to assist our companions efforts to maintain Australians secure. Deployed ADF [Australian defence force] belongings will function in response to the correct of collective self-defence.

Albanese mentioned the UAE alone had already been compelled to shoot down greater than 1,500 drones and rockets.

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Up to date at 19.58 EDT

Oil costs fall sharply after Trump claims warfare can be over ‘very quickly’

Callum Jones

Callum Jones

Oil costs have tumbled again from the four-year highs they hit on Monday after Donald Trump steered the US-Israel war on Iran may finish “very quickly”.

It has been a rare 24 hours in world markets.

This time yesterday, Brent crude, the worldwide benchmark, surged beyond $100 per barrel for the primary time since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 – triggering stark sell-offs throughout main Asian and European inventory indices. Wall Road additionally began the day below stress in New York.

Then Trump, who pays shut consideration to market actions, began speaking. The warfare on Iran as “very complete, pretty much”, the US president claimed in an interview with CBS Information.

Brent crude, which climbed as excessive as $119.50 per barrel on Monday, fell again sharply to settle at $98.96. On Wall Road, the S&P 500 clawed out of the crimson to complete the day larger.

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Up to date at 19.34 EDT

One particular person has died and others been injured from a “blatant” Iranian assault concentrating on a residential constructing in Bahrain’s capital, Manama, the nation’s inside ministry has said on social media.

The rely was preliminary, it mentioned, with out specifying the variety of injured.

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Up to date at 19.18 EDT

The day thus far

  • Donald Trump described the US-Israeli warfare on Iran as a “short-term tour” and mentioned it could finish “very quickly”, because the assault on Tehran entered its second week. He mentioned the warfare is “very full, just about” and forward of schedule, a major shift from his earlier options it may final a number of weeks. However he additionally indicated he was not but declaring the US mission completed. “We’ve already gained in some ways, however we haven’t gained sufficient,” he mentioned. The operation would solely finish as soon as Tehran now not has any capability of weaponry in opposition to the US, Israel or any US allies within the area for a very long time, he later added. Right here’s our report.

  • Trump twice declined to say whether or not or not Iran’s new supreme chief Mojtaba Khamenei had a goal on his again, saying solely that he was “disappointed” and thought he was “going to result in simply extra of the identical drawback for the nation”. It got here after a day of Trump being dismissive of the late ayatollah’s son – saying his choice was a “big mistake” and he was “not happy” about it – and reiterating that he nonetheless desires to be concerned within the collection of a frontrunner. Israel, in the meantime, has overtly vowed to focus on the brand new supreme chief.

  • It comes as giant crowds took to the streets in Tehran in a defiant present of assist for Khamenei.

  • In the meantime, Israel launched its second wave of strikes at this time in opposition to Tehran. The IDF claimed it had began a broad wave of strikes in opposition to “terror targets” within the Iranian capital, but it surely has been hitting vital vitality and gasoline infrastructure that serves atypical Iranians.

  • Israel additionally pressed its offensive in opposition to Hezbollah with raids within the south and airstrikes in Beirut. Israeli assaults on Lebanon have killed 486 folks, together with not less than 83 kids, since 2 March, Lebanese state information reported, citing the nation’s well being ministry. No less than 600,000 folks have been displaced in Lebanon, sparking fears of a humanitarian disaster.

  • Recent Iranian missile and drone assaults additionally focused Israel, US bases throughout the Center East and vitality infrastructure within the Gulf.

  • Oil costs surged by 20% to a four-year excessive earlier than coming again down beneath $90 a barrel after Trump’s suggestion the warfare would finish quickly. Iran earlier mocked the US over the rocketing oil value, branding its marketing campaign “Operation Epic Mistake”.

  • British Hurricane jets intercepted drones heading in direction of Jordan and Bahrain, the UK’s Ministry of Defence mentioned.

  • Turkey mentioned Nato defences shot down a ballistic missile in its airspace, the second intercepted missile from Iran in a ​week.

  • 5 feminine Iranian footballers have been granted humanitarian visas by Australia following an enchantment from Donald Trump to Anthony Albanese. Our story is here.

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Up to date at 19.06 EDT

Trump says that after america is finished with the army operation in opposition to Iran, Tehran will now not have any capability of weaponry in opposition to the US, Israel or any US allies within the area for a very long time.

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Trump twice declines to say if Iran’s new supreme chief has a goal on his again

Requested once more if Mojtaba Khamenei has a goal on his again, Trump declines a second time:

double citation markI don’t know wish to say if he does or not, as a result of that might be inappropriate.

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Up to date at 18.40 EDT

Trump ‘dissatisfied’ with Iran’s new supreme chief and says will ‘result in extra of the identical drawback’

Requested if Iran’s new supreme chief Mojtaba Khamenei has a goal on his again, Trump says he was “dissatisfied”.

double citation markI used to be dissatisfied as a result of we expect it’s going to result in simply extra of the identical drawback for the nation. So I used to be dissatisfied to see their alternative.

Requested about his earlier feedback that he had somebody in thoughts to steer Iran, Trump says:

double citation markI like the thought of inner and everlasting.

He provides:

double citation markI want to see folks which can be inside.

They discuss concerning the son of the shah [exiled crown prince Reza Pahlavi], they discuss different folks. However [he] hasn’t been there in lots of, a few years.

We’ve a method that’s been superb thus far, and I believe it can proceed to be good.

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Up to date at 18.34 EDT

Trump is requested if the US will settle for any duty for the assault on a women’ major college in Minab, Iran, after a US Tomahawk hit the naval base next to it.

The US president says:

double citation markEffectively, I haven’t seen it.

He says different nations use Tomahawks and the incident is being investigated.

A reminder that the assault killed 168 folks, most of whom had been kids.

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Up to date at 18.25 EDT

Trump says warfare on Iran can be over ‘very quickly’

Requested if he thought the warfare on Iran would finish this week, Trump says: “No, however I believe quickly. Very quickly.”

Donald Trump takes questions on the US-Israeli warfare on Iran at a information convention in Doral, Florida. {Photograph}: Mark Schiefelbein/AP
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Up to date at 18.32 EDT

Donald Trump says he had a “superb name” with Vladimir Putin.

They talked about Ukraine and the “unending battle” there, he says.

Additionally they talked concerning the Center East. Putin desires to be useful, he says.

Notice: He was additionally requested if he approves of Iran’s new supreme chief within the first a part of this query, which he ignored totally.

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Iran says any Arab and European nation that expels US and Israeli envoys will be capable to freely use strait of Hormuz

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has mentioned that any Arab or European nation that expels Israeli and US ambassadors from its territory can be granted unrestricted passage by way of the strait of Hormuz beginning on Tuesday.

In keeping with Iran’s state broadcaster IRIB, the IRGC mentioned these nations would have the “full proper and freedom” to transit the strategic waterway in the event that they sever diplomatic ties with each Israel and america.

A whole bunch of ships stay anchored on either side of the strategic waterway as oil and delivery markets look ahead to any signal that sailings would possibly choose up by way of the slim hall. Roughly a fifth of world oil and liquefied pure fuel usually flows by way of the strait.

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