Our soccer betting knowledgeable Jones Is aware of referred to as 9 out of 10 match outcomes appropriate final weekend. He’s again to supply his perception…
Manchester United vs Newcastle, Boxing Day 8pm, stay on Sky Sports activities
Manchester United host Newcastle on Boxing Day stay on Sky Sports activities – kick-off is at 8pm
With key attacking absences prone to have an effect on Manchester United’s output, United might be trying in the direction of Matheus Cunha to offer the artistic and capturing menace.
Repeatable patterns in betting are one thing to respect and Cunha’s capturing profile is strictly that. No participant because the begin of final season has hit the goal extra usually from exterior the field than Cunha (31), which tells you this is not variance, it is design. Much more encouraging, 4 of these outside-the-box photographs on the right track have are available his final two video games, highlighting present confidence and freedom in his function.
Away from house, Eddie Howe’s aspect concede 1.21 photographs from exterior the field per sport throughout their final 30 away league matches, the third-most of any Premier League group. That is a defensive concession profile that invitations precisely the kind of effort Cunha specialises in.
At Evens with Sky Guess for a number of Cunha photographs on the right track from exterior the field, you are not asking for a aim, only a clear connection that troubles the goalkeeper from exterior the world.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester Metropolis, Saturday 12.30pm
Manchester Metropolis have gotten the punters’ buddies once more such has been their reliability. It is seven wins on the spin for Pep Guardiola’s boys who’ve the scent of Arsenal of their nostrils.
Guardiola is doing issues in another way too. As soon as famed for his rotation, over the past eight gameweeks, he has used fewer gamers (12) in his beginning XI than another Premier League supervisor. That is offering some nice traits to develop throughout the props markets for us to observe, together with the foul-drawing capacity of Mathues Nunes for Metropolis. He is lured in 9 fouls from the opposition in his final 5 begins and tops the charts for being Metropolis’s most fouled participant this season. He is 6/4 with Sky Guess to attract two or extra fouls once more.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2
Taking the opposition photographs strains in opposition to Arsenal at The Emirates is not often a betting idea to discover – however underneath Fabian Hurzeler, Brighton are usually not a traditional group when visiting the elite and the numbers show it.
If you dig into Brighton’s information in opposition to the Premier League’s finest in school, the image turns into very attention-grabbing for these of us who like a photographs wager when the costs are proper.
From 11 video games in opposition to Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester Metropolis underneath this supervisor’s watch, Brighton have averaged a really spectacular 15.8 photographs per sport to a backdrop of a considerably wholesome 1.78 anticipated objectives per sport. That’s an outrageous output. That could be a title-contender probability creation from a aspect that is not sniffing anyplace close to a title problem.
The markets are behind on this curve. We will leap on Brighton to register 10 or extra photographs at Evens with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
It is a sport the place it is exhausting to get away from the numbers. Let’s hope they do not lie.
Throughout Brentford’s final 11 league video games on the Gtech, we’re seeing a hefty 3.9 objectives per match, which instantly tells you two issues: they’re enjoying front-foot soccer they usually’re removed from watertight on the again.
Now add Bournemouth into the equation and the noise solely will get louder. Their away video games are averaging a exceptional 4.5 objectives per match, which is elite-level volatility. Andoni Iraola has absolutely dedicated to an aggressive press on the street, and whereas it creates possibilities at one finish, it leaves them horribly uncovered on the different.
For those who mix each groups to attain and over 2.5 objectives you conjure up a 4/5 shot to assault with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
That is the a part of the season the place expertise quietly tilts the steadiness. Fixtures come thick and quick, preparation time is proscribed and matches usually hinge on sport administration somewhat than tactical perfection.
That is the place David Moyes stands out.
Throughout 58 Premier League matches managed between December 23 and January 8, his groups have posted a forty five per cent win ratio, which is a powerful return throughout probably the most demanding stretches of the calendar. It factors to a supervisor who understands methods to simplify the sport when legs are drained and focus shifts from model to substance.
In a sport doubtless determined by effective margins, backing expertise, notably on the touchline, feels just like the smart angle with Evens on provide for an away win.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Everton to win (Evens with Sky Guess)
If you’re enjoying at Anfield, lengthy spells with out the ball are inevitable. And when a group spends a lot of the sport chasing shadows, the foul depend often begins to climb.
That is the angle that makes Wolves attention-grabbing right here in a really troublesome betting warmth. Since Rob Edwards took cost, they have been averaging 16.8 fouls per 90 minutes – essentially the most of any group within the Premier League. Groups that count on to undergo are likely to foul extra, not out of malice, however frustration. And there’s loads of that within the Wolves camp.
Wolves to take advantage of fouls in every half at 13/8 with Sky Guess is value a glance.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0
Since Nuno EspÃrito Santo took cost at West Ham, their matches have taken on a really clear profile. We’re seeing a mean of precisely three objectives per sport, however the extra telling metric is the anticipated objectives determine, which sits even increased at 3.3 per match.
That tells you these video games aren’t being inflated by freak finishes or purple playing cards, the probabilities are genuinely flowing at each ends.
Nuno’s West Ham are way more direct and really transition-heavy. They assault rapidly, commit our bodies ahead and are comfortable to take dangers – one thing the house followers might be demanding on this vital and winnable house fixture. The Hammers aren’t reliable sufficient to again outright at 8/5 with Sky Guess however the over 2.5 objectives and each groups to attain combo at Evens is a worth with potentialities.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Over 2.5 objectives & BTTS (Evens with Sky Guess)
Chelsea vs Aston Villa, Saturday 5.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £1M!
Chelsea vs Aston Villa LIVE!
Aston Villa’s underlying numbers counsel a little bit of turbulence forward. However context issues and this journey to Chelsea is a kind of spots the place Villa stay very exhausting to disregard regardless of the info warnings with 3/1 with Sky Guess on provide to make it 11 wins in a row.
Chelsea nonetheless wrestle to manage video games for lengthy intervals, particularly in opposition to groups keen to assault area rapidly. That is the place Morgan Rogers involves the social gathering. Villa’s important man would not want quantity, he wants moments – and Chelsea present loads of these.
A Villa win with Rogers on the scoresheet is not an excessive amount of to ask. It is landed in three of his final seven begins, which means the 8/1 with Sky Guess charges as a price play.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Sunderland vs Leeds, Sunday 2pm, stay on Sky Sports activities
Sunderland vs Leeds United LIVE!
There are specific grounds you merely cannot ignore. The Stadium of Gentle has develop into a spot the place construction, power and perception do the heavy lifting, and people qualities are likely to journey very properly by a season. It is now eight Premier League house video games unbeaten, with 5 wins and three attracts and that consistency tells you lots about what sort of group they’re.
With key gamers away at AFCON, there is a temptation to downgrade Sunderland. However it is a aspect constructed on collective understanding and tactical readability. Take away just a few items and the construction nonetheless holds – as proven of their wonderful efficiency at Brighton.
Leeds, in the meantime, have struggled badly on the street. Six defeats in eight away video games paints an image of a group that hasn’t but discovered a solution to management matches exterior acquainted environment.
The market is disrespecting the affect of the Stadium of Gentle leading to us with the ability to again Sunderland on the draw no wager at 10/11 with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Sunderland draw no wager (10/11 with Sky Guess)
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur LIVE!
Crystal Palace’s defence is creaking. It is now 10 objectives conceded of their final 4 video games throughout all competitions. Earlier than that, over the earlier 12 matches they’d solely shipped eight objectives in complete. The squad has been stretched past its limits and outcomes are actually struggling as such.
Spurs have had an eight-day break since their final sport – their longest hole between video games this season. Thomas Frank is a process-focused, hands-on coach that wants coaching time to implement his concepts – one thing he is not had the luxurious of this season. And though Frank’s group have been probably the most impotent groups within the Premier League this season from an attacking perspective, there’s high quality in that ahead line to feast on a Palace defensive course of that’s providing up extra presents than standard. The away win at 11/5 with Sky Guess is a contact beneficiant.
