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VRC Oaks Day 2024 horses: Form guide, tips, odds; Treasurethe Moment hurt by barrier draw, Marc Ohlmus analysis

The Owner Press by The Owner Press
November 11, 2024
in The School of Wellness
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Dropped at you by TAB. 9

There’s two sizzling probabilities with the bookmakers heading into Thursday’s VRC Crown Oaks – however there might a significant upset brewing within the Group 1 function.

On the third day of the carnival at Flemington, among the greatest fillies from throughout the nation will race over 2500 metres within the time-honoured three-year-old basic.

Treasurethe Second is about to start out favorite after a robust win on Derby day, however in accordance with Sky Racing analyst Marc Ohlmus, one of many outsiders within the race might trigger some bother.

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“It may be a extremely attention-grabbing race,” he advised Broad World of Sports activities’ VRC Oaks preview show.

“It is type of been blown out a bit for mine, with the favorite drawing very vast Treasurethe Second, who was excellent within the Wakeful.

Treasurethe Second runs clear in opposition to Powers Of Opal.  Getty

“There was loads to love concerning the profitable margin, together with Powers Of Opal who’s second favorite for the Oaks. I am keen to take these two on – we noticed within the Derby a number of being actually examined on the 2500 metres and I believe we will see the identical.

“Treasurethe Second from a wider draw is gonna must snag proper again and has drawn barrier 12. She’s both gonna have to return or they’re gonna must push the button, go ahead and use loads of petrol early, which I do not assume goes to be perfect.

“The third situation is that she sits three deep after which she positively cannot win.

“She is superb and Yulong are profitable the whole lot in the meanwhile, however price-related, I am greater than keen to take her on.”

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As a substitute of the highest two hopes from a betting perspective, Ohlmus is eyeing off one roughie specifically who might trigger a significant upset.

Inevitable Reality – considered one of simply two runners but to win a race in her profession – is rated a $23 likelihood with TAB however has drawn the within gate and will get Jye McNeil within the saddle.

“I’ve been with (Inevitable Reality) since her Oaks trial and even earlier than that truly, I liked her pedigree and he or she’s really half to a Sydney Derby winner in Angel Of Reality,” he mentioned.

“I do not assume the 2500 metres goes to be of any concern. I’ve to stay together with her on that foundation and you might be getting a implausible value. She might be going to settle three again the fence and attracts barrier one.

“Limitations are all-important for this race, going again by means of the final 10 editions solely two fillies have received from exterior barrier seven and I believe that is a extremely vital stat.

“John Sargent has received the Oaks earlier than and at all times has a superb filly and I believe this is likely to be his subsequent one.”

Odds courtesy of TAB. Right as of November 6.

1. Treasurethe Second (12)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: Matt Laurie

Jockey: Damian Lane

Profession: 6: 4-2-0

Final 6: 1×2111

Earnings: $378,338

Odds: $3.30 / $1.55

2. Too Darn Discreet (3)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: Dan O’Sullivan

Jockey: Michael Dee

Profession: 6: 3-1-0

Final 6: 4×7111

Earnings: $353,225

Odds: $8 / $2.50

3. Harlem Queen (5)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: Nathan Doyle

Jockey: Blake Shinn

Profession: 6: 2-1-1

Final 6: 4×1124

Earnings: $292,100

Odds: $6 / $2.10

4. Rag Queen (4)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: David Payne

Jockey: Chad Schofield

Profession: 7: 1-0-1

Final 6: 6×0747

Earnings: $271,275

Odds: $26 / $6

5. Powers Of Opal (9)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: John Sargent

Jockey: James McDonald

Profession: 7: 1-1-1

Final 6: x43412

Earnings: $138,875

Odds: $3.80 / $1.65

6. Pleasure Artist (6)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: Craig Williams

Jockey: R & W Freedman

Profession: 4: 1-1-0

Final 6: 4125

Earnings: $111,550

Odds: $17 / $4.20

7. Talisay (8)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: Billy Egan

Jockey: Byron Cozamanis

Profession: 10: 2-0-3

Final 6: 641336

Earnings: $105,770

Odds: $31 / $7

8. Femminile (13)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: Phillip Stokes

Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse

Profession: 5: 1-0-1

Final 6: 61×963

Earnings: $87,995

Odds: $19 / $4.60

9. Killcare Beachgirl (2)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: G Waterhouse & A Bott

Jockey: Tim Clark

Profession: 6: 1-0-3

Final 6: 7×3363

Earnings: $87,550

Odds: $31 / $7

10. Noises (11)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: Brad Widdup

Jockey: Andrew Adkins

Profession: 6: 2-2-0

Final 6: x21128

Earnings: $84,375

Odds: $81 / $16

11. Hurry Curry (7)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: Danny O’Brien

Jockey: Joao Moreira

Profession: 4: 2-0-0

Final 6: 6115

Earnings: $63,700

Odds: $26 / $6

12. Inevitable Reality (1)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: John Sargent

Jockey: Jye McNeil

Profession: 6: 0-2-0

Final 6: x25244

Earnings: $42,450

Odds: $23 / $5

13. Placid Pearl (14)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: Matthew Smith

Jockey: Ben Melham

Profession: 4: 1-2-0

Final 6: 2421

Earnings: $27,750

Odds: $41 / $9

14. All Varieties Of People (10)

Weight: 56kg

Coach: J & C Ledger

Jockey: Luke Currie

Profession: 5: 0-0-1

Final 6: 34489

Earnings: $21,535

Odds: $101 / $18



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